• hi_im_bored13@alien.topB
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    1 year ago

    Late last month, Ford also announced that it would be delaying or canceling around $12 billion of its own planned investments into EVs amid waning demand,

    Is that waning demand for EVs or waning demand for Ford EVs? Maybe if they’d build a decent economy EV (see: bolt) available for msrp people would actually buy the thing.

    • spankyiloveyou@alien.top
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      1 year ago

      EV demand is super strong. Sales worldwide of EVs are increasing at a 50% yoy clip (most of it Tesla and BYD)

      What this means is that their (Tesla/BYD) price reduction strategy (to put pressure on competitors and drive them out of business, while still capturing a fast growing market) is working

      • BetterThanAFoon@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        It’s a standard tactic in large businesses. The amount of government handouts fueling large business is pretty eye opening.

    • Stoncs@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      The mach e barley breaks even and the bolt is a loss leader. Ford’s second generation of EVs will cost much less to produce, due to Ford producing many of the electronics in house instead of buying them from Delphi or Bosch.

      • Lollerscooter@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        Mhhh… in Europe Ford is coming out with a new Explorer EV. Only thing is that it is a rebadged VW ID.4.

        So I guess that’s their next move? It doesn’t seem smart tbh.

    • leeta0028@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      The Bolt lost GM almost 10k on every unit sold when they discontinued it. I don’t know how it balanced out for GM in terms of their ability to meet CARB regulations, but in itself it was not a viable product.

      • hi_im_bored13@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        Lucid and Rivian also bleed money, it’s the nature with any new technology. GM certainly lost money, but they’re absolutely leapfrogging ford in EV nowadays.

        Just feel like not investing as much in EVs is going to bite them back in the future

        • Icy-Sprinkles-638@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          The big issue is that the BEV is not new. It’s older than the ICEV. It’s just never worked or succeeded because no matter how you slice it batteries suck. They’ve always sucked, they still suck, and they always will suck. That’s just the nature of the beast because their limitations are rooted in the laws of physics and those laws cannot be broken.

            • Icy-Sprinkles-638@alien.topB
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              1 year ago

              Not in the ways that matter to consumers. Consumers don’t care about drivetrain efficiency or stuff like that. They care about ease of use, range, and time to get back on the road when running low on stored energy. BEVs at best match and usually do worse on those things.

              • hutacars@alien.topB
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                1 year ago

                You think consumers love spending $60 every week at the pump, and being late for their morning meeting because they forgot to do so the previous evening? You think they enjoy having to wait for heat to finally appear on a cold morning? You think they enjoy oil changes and 30k service intervals and when their timing belt craps out and they bend a valve? And don’t even get me started on the externalities consumers don’t pay for. If they had to absorb those costs, imagine just how much less they’d like it!

                I am convinced the majority of people don’t “like” it, but rather tolerate it because it’s all they’ve known, and change is scary. They’ll come around.

        • TenguBlade@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          Lucid and Rivian also bleed money

          And it’s okay for them to lose money because Wall Street treats them like startups. If Ford or GM began losing money then shareholder would dump them immediately, because the investor that holds their stock does so expecting immediate quarterly dividends, not maybe-profit in 5 years.

          • bpnj@alien.topB
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            1 year ago

            So what you’re saying is ford management is ok kicking the can down the road instead of making difficult choices to ensure the future of the company. Isn’t that how ceos justify making so much more money than workers?

            These companies are taking the easy way out by not making investments for the future. It’s inevitable the company will either need to make EVs profitably or cease to exist.

            • TenguBlade@alien.topB
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              1 year ago

              No, what I’m saying is Ford shareholders are okay with that, and part of the CEO’s job is making them happy alongside their workers. And if you look at the largest shareholders of Ford, they’re mostly wealth management companies who want those quarterly yields so the people who set up retirement/investment funds with them see returns.

        • forzagoodofdapeople@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          If I’m Ford, I know that I can wait out the tech curve of EV development over the next five years, and then buy a smaller company for their tech and scale it - all for less than 12 Billion. In 2022, Rimac’s valuation was $2B according to their fundraise, and their tech is miles ahead of Ford’s. Now picture a company much smaller than Rimac.

          • HistorianEvening5919@alien.topB
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            1 year ago

            Rivian was worth 32B for most of 2022, 16B currently. Ford is worth 41B currently. So buying Rivian would be pretty hard to do, given the usual market premium you need to offer.

            • LeBaus7@alien.topB
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              1 year ago

              every time I see these kind of numbers I am completely befuddled. Ford vs. Rivian and even the current “worth” is not even 3x. potential is soooo overrated to me, but who I am to judge, in the end I have no clue.

              • HistorianEvening5919@alien.topB
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                1 year ago

                Growth is very attractive because rarely do stagnant companies become growth stocks and plenty of growth stocks keep growing and growing and growing. I thought Amazon would stop being “overpriced” for like 15 years now. Nope. Always trades at a generous multiple and (generally) keeps growing.

                I’m personally not a huge fan of rivian as a stock but in general this market loves to give growth stocks a massive premium.

      • StPapaNoel@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        The dealership model itself has a lot of modernizing and updates in general that need to happen…

        Lol it is pretty brutal in a lot of ways.

        • fretit@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          The dealership model itself has a lot of modernizing and updates in general that need to happen…

          It’s incredible how backwards they are. When they list cars on their sites or third party sites, they still post very long lists with all the old school crap like “Power Windows,Power Door Locks”, but with many not even listing the actual options on the car, or the exact color, describing the color as just “gray” when there are two different types of gray offered. It’s hilarious.

        • RoomTemperatureFanta@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          I wouldn’t be upset if every dealership in the world’s insurance suddenly lapsed and mysteriously burned to the ground. There is no reason there should be a middle-man in a car buying process.

          • popsicle_of_meat@alien.topB
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            1 year ago

            The actual buildings don’t even need to go away. Turn them into delivery centers and maintenance/repair (which is already there). I want to order a car online, get ALL the paperwork finalized online, then go in to review/sign a couple documents, get my keys and leave.

            • headcoat2013@alien.topB
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              1 year ago

              And who is going to turn them into these barebones delivery centers? Dealerships are all independently owned and have to pay rent on a substantial amount of land beyond just the building itself. No automaker on the planet has the spare cash to buy all of their dealers out. With certain exceptions like Ferrari of course. But why would they want to deal directly to the public?

            • snoo-suit@alien.topB
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              1 year ago

              Car dealerships are way overbuilt for that – whenever you see a fancy showroom, remember that you’re paying for it when you buy a car.

        • Skvora@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          Absolutely. If it costs Ford 10k to build a car, msrp is 20k, dealers should be getting these things for like 16k to sell for the 20.

          Or manufacturers just need to supply the inventory for free and allocate a base sales commission for units sold.

          • frank3000@alien.topB
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            1 year ago

            If the MSRP is 20k, Ford is probably making $800/unit and the dealer is making $400. Unless the dealer can sell it for 25k…

            • TempleSquare@alien.topB
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              1 year ago

              Unfortunately, this is true.

              Cars that normal people can afford have thin margins.

              The fat pandemic days of product scarcity and low interest rates are gone. Cheap cars will be back, but not without a lot of kicking and screaming first.

              • Downside190@alien.topB
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                1 year ago

                You’d think they could make a decent profit on a bare bones electric car once they go more mainstream. Just an electric motor, stereo and power windows and the basic safety features. Don’t need all the other fancy stuff.

                • clickstops@alien.topB
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                  1 year ago

                  That will not sell. People buying new cars are not people on a super budget who will be continuing to buy used economy cars.

                • FledglingNonCon@alien.topB
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                  1 year ago

                  But that would undercut their argument that no one wants them and that regulators should give them a break. Don’t worry, the Chinese will find a way into the market eventually and offer them.

                • Drauren@alien.topB
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                  1 year ago

                  Nobody buys bare bones cars, at least in the states. The value proposition just isn’t there. Most people will go used as the feature set is better for your money.

                  “bare bones cars” is one of the memes on this subreddit, along with “le manuel wagon”. Nobody wants them, that’s why they don’t make them.

                  • Downside190@alien.topB
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                    11 months ago

                    Yeah for petrol cars. Electric is new and soon to take over and probably has lots of people who can’t afford expensive new electric cars that would take a bare bones electric one that was comfortable and offered cheap running cost over a second hand petrol/diesel car instead. It just has to be priced appropriately

                • TempleSquare@alien.topB
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                  1 year ago

                  Oh, I agree. I can only afford cheap cars myself. (Happy Honda Fit owner).

                  But I also understand how low interest rates and fat pandemic-era profits gave automakers an excuse to chop the affordable products off their lineups.

          • tyfe@alien.topB
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            1 year ago

            Lmao, a car with 20k MSRP has a margin of like $200. In no world is there a 10k profit margin on a 20k car.

              • AndForThatReason@alien.topB
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                1 year ago

                It would be if it was true, but it’s bullshit. Pre-COVID, it was common for many dealer brands to discount 10-15% off MSRP, sometimes 20%, and still make money on each vehicle sold. And that’s not counting the manufacturer profit that is already baked into that as well.

                As another example, Tesla’s margins used to be around 30-35% per car, but now are a bit under 20% average from what I remember. Nobody is selling shit at MSRP and only making $200, that’s just nonsense.

        • g-e-o-f-f@alien.top
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          1 year ago

          I’ve been trying to buy a Ford Maverick (hybrid) for a while. Holy shit has it soured me on dealerships and the dealership model.

          • obeytheturtles@alien.topB
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            11 months ago

            This is legitimately a big part of the reason why Teslas are selling and other EVs aren’t. The Tesla buying experience is like the difference between a handjob and a root canal. No sane person is going to want to go back to spending hours talking to a sweaty man in a cheap suit when they can just go online and finish a purchase in 20 minutes instead.

          • Kwanzaa246@alien.topB
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            1 year ago

            Same

            I ended up getting one at msrp but fuck the dealer and greasing on another $1600 in fees. I could have walked but there where three other guys who showed up to look while I was test driving it lol

            • EcShade@alien.topB
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              1 year ago

              Probably their 3 EV sales guys who swapped clothes to get you to eat the extra $1600

              • Kwanzaa246@alien.topB
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                1 year ago

                Lol maybe, this was in 2022 and to walk on a lot and get a vehicle at Msrp at that time was surprising in itself

          • _NathanialHornblower@alien.topB
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            1 year ago

            Same. Tried to get one last year and they stopped taking orders (and then there was a 12+ month wait). Tried again this year when the order banks opened, but Ford increased the price (and then there was an unknown amount of wait).

            I bought a Model 3 instead from my phone that was cheaper and I picked up a week later.

      • CO_Brit@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        I think you mean gouge?

        gouge works better with ‘dealer’ in the same sentence.

    • ChiggaOG@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      More like overall. The 2035 sales ban for new gas vehicles won’t stop. It’ll just cause people to go on a buying frenzy in 2033 and 2034 with ADM priced very high.

        • HistorianEvening5919@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          2035 is a long time from 2023. Sounds silly but worth repeating. Plug-in hybrids can be solve after that date with a huge battery I believe, but more like the i3 range extender than a regular hybrid. Good solution for towing I think.

      • hewkii2@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        There’s nothing preventing the sales ban from being pushed back though, which it would if there’s not sufficient infrastructure in the form of cars and chargers.

        That’s more of a 2030 milestone though.

    • MechMeister@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      One of my local dealers is famously all in on Ford EV’s. The E Transit only gets 120 range…in the summer and it’s $50k. They have assloads of F150 Lightening but they are all $55k or higher. It’s so hard to justify when the gas equivalent is 30% cheaper out the door.

      • AmIFromA@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        Is the E Transit in the US also a commercial panel van like here in Europe? I would think that 120 miles would be plenty for a lot of use cases for these things. Maybe less so in rural areas, though.

        • nlpnt@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          A lot of fleet customers use them for fixed routes, package delivery or shuttle buses.

          • the_lamou@alien.topB
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            1 year ago

            “More convenient” is very subjective. I find it very convenient to be able to pull into my garage with 10 miles of range left and then have a full tank the next morning. In an ICE, I would start getting anxious at about a hundred miles of range, and doesn’t panicked at 50.

              • the_lamou@alien.topB
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                1 year ago

                First, because I’ve found traditional ICE mileage estimations get progressive worse the lower you go under 100.

                Second, because I grew up in Jersey, and still drive there regularly to visit family, and in Jersey you just never know if the gas station coming up at night is going to be open or not. Because all pumps are full service and you can’t pump your own gas, this is a real concern.

                Third, because even in NY, the closest pump near me that’s guaranteed to be open after 9:30 is almost a half hour drive away.

                Fourth, because my wife is terrible about not getting gas, and I’ve had days where I’ve left the car with a quarter tank, gotten in it the next day, and had 10-15 miles of range.

        • GMFPs_sweat_towel@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          No it wouldn’t 120 miles is nothing when you have to drive all over to making deliveries, runs to the hardware store, or lugging around heavy cargo.

          Delivery drivers are short on time, they cannot wait at a charging port.

        • JMS1991@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          Maybe if you are in construction or something where you spend most of your time at one site in a workday.

          You also have a lot of plumbers, repair men, etc. who do a lot of smaller jobs in a day, and I’m not sure how that would do using a van with only 120 miles of range. Thinking back to having my air conditioner repaired, the guy spent maybe 45 minutes to an hour at my house. If you have an 9 hour workday (common in the summer when they are busy) that only gives you 12 miles average between each call. That’s not much. I live in a small to mid-sized city, and you can travel that far and still be on the same side of town. Not to mention most of these companies cover a pretty large area with one distribution center.

      • hutacars@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        Is it truly a “gas equivalent?” Last I looked, an equivalent gas trim was comparably priced to the Lightning one. And with incentives now, some Lightnings are cheaper than gas.

      • BuckTheFuckNaked@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        I don’t know why the gap in price is so huge. BMW and MB can somehow make an EV that’s only 10-15% more than the gas equivalent (closer to 10%).

        • koopa00@alien.topB
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          1 year ago

          Part of it is brands like Ford and GM didn’t even bother with lower trim levels, so you get the expensive models out the gate with the hopes of cheaper trims on the way.

      • REDDIT_JUDGE_REFEREE@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        My top of the line model Y performance with upgrades was $53k out the door before the 7500$ EV credit. Cheapest Lightning/mustang mach E was like 59k where I’m at. Then couple the no-hassle dealership-free approach and it becomes really obvious.

    • Leek5@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      Little bit of both probably. Tesla has been lower their prices. They would be doing that if the demand was the same

      • Sunfuels@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        Demand for EV’s is higher than ever. EV sales increased 6% from Q2-Q3, and have every quarter since Q3 2021. The demand is still growing, but it had slowed down from the 10% percent quarterly growth of the last few years. Tesla is lowering prices because supply is growing faster than the demand with all the companies, including Tesla, adding EV manufacturing.

      • FledglingNonCon@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        Tesla has returned their EVs to pre-pandrmic prices. They increased them by like $20k between 2021 and 2022 because demand was so high and no one else had any EVs to sell. The whole market is returning to “nornal” but all people want to talk about is the EV side of things. If you look at pickups these days it’s not uncommon to see $10k in incentives.

    • Harmoniium@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      A lot of the problem is it’s very expensive on the dealer side to be an EV dealer. At least in my experience on the chevy side - you had to have EV trained techs, proper equipment for battery replacements, fast chargers installed, etc etc. Very easily cost anywhere from $100-200k. Smaller, lower volume stores just simply could not afford it.

      Not to mention on the sales side with Chevrolet we aren’t exactly incentivized to sell them as MSRP = invoice on all chevy EV’s which translates to practically no money made outside of SFE/holdback/onstar. Add onto that EV customers typically being on the higher maintenance compared to your typical domestic customer and it’s a recipe for dealers not wanting to play ball.

      Again, not sure if it’s exactly the same for Ford but I’d be willing to bet there’s some crossover.

    • Lucreth2@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      Waning demand compared to projections, which were all obviously bullshit from the beginning. That or CEOs are really that out of touch.

    • paganel@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      Maybe if they’d build a decent economy EV

      Most probably the physics just isn’t in there when it comes to built a decently-priced EV which should also have decent range.

    • Intelligent_Top_328@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      Demand is there. But if Ford met the demand they might go bankrupt. They dont make money on EVs. Pretty much only Tesla does.

    • this_might_b_offensv@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      There have been a couple of F150 Lightnings sitting at the local lot since probably September, both with prices over $100k. The waning demand is because very few people want to spend that much on a pickup. Sure, truck guys will spend that much if they have the funds, but they’re usually not into EVs.

      • SloopKid@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        I’m surprised, my wife works for a ford dealer in NJ and they can’t keep f150 lightnings on the lot they sell so quick

    • IMI4tth3w@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      How much of the EV demand fall off is because of people waiting for the NACS non-Tesla EVs? No one wants to buy an EV they can’t reliably charge on road trips

    • nlpnt@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      I keep saying it, all the automakers rushed into $50k midsize crossovers and $70k+ “lifestyle” pickups because of the profit-per-unit but they saturated those segments and pushed the focus on fast-charging because nobody’s going to spend that much on something that big and not have it be the household road-trip car.

    • Icy-Sprinkles-638@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      If demand appears to be waning for every company who isn’t selling entirely based on being trendy (i.e. Tesla) does that not indicate that EVs in general aren’t popular and instead there is one outlier company who is basically using the Apple strategy of being a fashion statement above a practical item? Because it’s not just Ford who is backing down on BEVs. It’s everyone except dedicated BEV companies, many of whom are not expected to actually survive for that long.

      • hi_im_bored13@alien.topB
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        1 year ago

        Tesla’s are good cars, just like iPhones are good phones. Fashion statements are a small part of the equation.

    • BetterThanAFoon@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      Economy and EV aren’t exactly overlapping terms. EVs are expensive and incentives is what helps make them more affordable.

    • Dan_E26@alien.topB
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      1 year ago

      100% waning demand for Fords in particular.

      The Mach E is just a shittier Model Y and the Lightning has two options: unaffordable with dogshit range, and super unaffordable with slightly less dogshit range