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Cake day: October 15th, 2023

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  • Increased three-point shooting and higher league average pace means more scoring variance, which means more big blowouts and more comebacks from large deficits… sort of. It’s not like games are becoming less competitive, it’s just that you kind of need to recalibrate what qualifies as a “blowout” or a “close game”— a 15-point lead today is closer to a 10-point lead a decade ago.