Thanks but these are the inputs to the model. The output would generally be a probabilistic prediction of the outcomes, like 60% chance of Harris victory, 40% Trump, etc.
That’s the part you have to pay for I believe. Although the polling averages are interesting.
No just the results. It’s paywalled so I can’t access it.
Boom!
Thanks but these are the inputs to the model. The output would generally be a probabilistic prediction of the outcomes, like 60% chance of Harris victory, 40% Trump, etc.
That’s the part you have to pay for I believe. Although the polling averages are interesting.
Here ya go
Thanks! Surprised they still have Trump favored but I guess the EC is a big factor.
The old version of his model at 538 has it flipped. Harris wins 57 out of 100 times. Still basically coin toss.
I wonder if his new model is accounting for some of the recent voting access changes.