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Cake day: September 9th, 2023

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  • You asked for an example of a country changing its attitude, that is what happened in Iran to negotiate the nuclear deal. Now you are moving the goal posts and claiming that it wasn’t sufficiently successful in the long run. That may well be, but it has nothing to do with the presence or absence of sanctions.

    I also want to point out that sanctions often work far more subtly than what you imagine. If six months from now, Ukraine and Russia engage in successful peace talks, sanctions will certainly have played a role in shifting Russia’s position closer to that of Ukraine, but on the surface it will be impossible to tell by how much.










  • Syntha@sh.itjust.workstoMicroblog Memes@lemmy.worldExperts
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    23 days ago

    Big difference between “I don’t think Russia is going to invade” and “Russia will never invade, was never going to invade, everyone who thinks so is stupid”, Crimea is just a big joke, anyone who thinks otherwise is “liberal QAnon”, the only reason the West is claiming this is because they are stoking tension.

    It’s the analysis of international affairs at the level of a 15 year old. It’s cringe, it’s frequently wrong, and it’s delusional. There was no fundamental analysis on the feasibility of a Russian ground invasion.

    Plus I remember at the time even people in Ukraine didn’t think it was gonna happen and that it was just America saber rattling.

    What is this even supposed to mean? Some people probably did. I don’t know how this is relevant, to him being so confidently wrong about it.

    But even so after he was proven wrong he took responsibility and was open about the fact that he was wrong.

    This is irrelevant. His analysis was completely delusional.