This is what I think too - teams are much more possession focussed these days

Ball is easily lost with a long ball and if the opposition can keep possession it’s demoralising, tiring and risky

4-4-2 isn’t used as much either where the long ball tactic is more popular

It’s hard to see past France - they can score goals - probably outscore any other team

England have the calibre but are too cautious - don’t play with the same flair

Dark horse - the Dutch