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Joined 4 months ago
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Cake day: February 18th, 2026

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  • Mine is en route, but seeing the videos and early reviews, I think I’ll leave mine unopened for a bit and give them more time to create an interface and get the rest of the software done.

    I agree, it’s disappointing, but I am still cutting them some slack since it’s still a very affordable and nice-looking MISTer box, and I do think they’re acting in good faith but just in over their heads (with overoptimistic time lines).

    I was most disappointed to see the flimsy Superdock drive, however, since they took so much time and that’s a design flaw that won’t get better without a hardware rev.


  • The immigration decline under Trump is dramatic. In 2024, roughly 2.7 million foreign migrants entered the U.S., according to the Census Bureau. This year, census experts predict that number could drop as low as 300,000. Some demographers believe the U.S. may be reaching a point where more migrants are leaving than entering.

    This is the only paragraph Stephen Miller cares about (to be clear, I’m confident Trump does not have the capacity or planning ability to be responsible for any immigration steps over both presidencies. Stephen Miller is the only person that matters on this issue).

    He will happily destroy the economic foundation of the country if it means the borders are closed. He was an absolute un-self-reflecting racist, xenophobic bully twat since at least high school, and at this point it’s the most unalterable part of his psyche left.






  • OpenAI and Anthropic’s IPOs +2-4 weeks is my best guess for when the market starts sliding. Investor money is already drying up, but too many rich people haven’t cashed out yet, helping themselves (like SpaceX) to our index retirement funds to countersign withdrawals at the inflated valuations.

    I’m on the fence after that if it’ll happen slow or fast. Possible we’ll get a Bear Stearns/Lehman type failure that brings down the world’s markets, after a major player no longer has a blank check at multi-billion/quarter burn rates, and hits insolvency like a freight train. But also likely it could unravel more slowly like a sweater, as de-escalating levels of market access pull on the thread in turn.


  • Don’t doom too much about this headline. HBM contracts represent artificial AI demand. When the bubble pops (and it will pop), the HBM demand evaporates and it’s back to competing for consumers. That said, there will be a very slow ratchet to get back to consumer-competitive prices, because as component costs go down, additional companies will be “priced in” to speculative AI business models, even if hyperscalers and other AI-drunk multinationals are backing off.

    Regardless of whether there is a bubble, though, AI spending is ludicriously, unsustainably inflated even from existing memory customers. They are purchasing one-time AI infrastructure that needs to last a decade to even have a remote chance of paying off the hardware investments. There are only a few companies that can afford current AI pricing, those companies have already played their hands and paid for allocations, and they will not keep purchasing at this pace even in their own best case scenarios.

    Regulation could keep consumer prices down, but of course we’re in the bad Trump timeline and that won’t happen until at least 2028. Assuming the bubble pops before then, the key to resetting this “new normal” is to NOT purchase anything you do not need to until we’re back to $80-130 / 64GB or cheaper, like it was in 2025. Hold out, make them desperate to lower prices.





  • The chapter of the American Civil Liberties Union in Washington filed a notice in federal court saying that city officials had agreed to pay an undisclosed sum to the plaintiff, Sam O’Hara, in exchange for being released from the lawsuit. Scott Michelman, the legal director of the A.C.L.U. chapter, said that the settlement “was a significant amount Mr. O’Hara is pleased with but that we are not disclosing to respect Mr. O’Hara’s privacy.”

    I wish they hadn’t settled, since unfortunately an unconstitutional arrest to generate a speech-chilling headline, followed by buying-off a settlement, is just a take-rights-now-pay-layer strategy that still leads to fascism.




  • I’d be curious to know your logic why renting is cheaper than buying.

    To explain: Even disregarding that a later sale price is an intrinsic inflation recoup, paying a mortgage also means any principle is recouped on sale, meaning only interest is the actual monthly “rent” after a sale, maybe decades later. Finally it’s rare property value doesn’t go up, which also reduces the costs. Despite all these benefits, you still found renting and investing the difference gave better returns?