• Albiceleste_D10S@fediverser.communick.devB
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    1 year ago

    If the ball hits the post instead of finding the net, if a cross is just an inch too high, if the keeper got his fingertips to the ball but couldn’t prevent conceding, that’s all got to do with skill issue.

    The sample size is WAY too small to determine that it’s “skill” rather than luck

    There’s a reason why those kinds of huge xG vs G disparities usually regress to the mean over the long-term

    • EpiDeMic522@fediverser.communick.devB
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      1 year ago

      Haven’t Roma been the perennial xG under performers from all of Mourinho’s 3 seasons? IIRC, they are amongst the top underperformers. Even with Lukaku in for Tammy, this issue seems to be a pattern with the team.

      • Albiceleste_D10S@fediverser.communick.devB
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        1 year ago

        Haven’t Roma been the perennial xG under performers from all of Mourinho’s 3 seasons?

        They were in their first 2 seasons. Last season it was largely Tammy, Pellegrini, Belotti, and Zaniolo underperforming by a huge margin. The season before it was largely Tammy, Zaniolo, and Mancini

        This season they’re actually over-performing on offense (19G + 1 own goal scored on 14.1 xg; getting rid of Tammy and Zaniolo and having Lukaku + Dybala being fit so far has been a big upgrade there).

        They just had a few unlucky games early before that corrected recently + they’re underperforming massively on defense—a large part of that is Rui Patricio having a historically bad season TBH