CBC poll aggregator puts the probabilities of next year’s federal election outcomes at Conservative majority–94%, Conservative minority–4%, Liberal government–1%.

I didn’t realize things were this bleak.

I feel some deja vu watching Trudeau refuse to step aside (early enough), just like with Biden.

A friend of mine thinks no one really wants to replace Trudeau as Liberal leader, for what’s most likely to be a decisive loss.

I posted an article with a headline about Trudeau’s GST holiday and $200 checks signalling that he’s out of ideas or that it ‘smacks of desperation’. Lemmy.ca didn’t seem to like it much. But I look at the gesture like, “that’s the best you can do for a fighting chance at forming a government?”

I don’t like their disinclination to truly represent the working classes, and the general loss of that representation in politics more widely at the moment (eg, shift towards conservativism and authoritinarianism).

Are we just defeatedly marching towards 4 years of a PP government? Realistically, can/will anything be done, even for a greater chance at a Conservative minority, never mind an ABC government?

  • Rentlar@lemmy.ca
    14·
    23 days ago

    I have known about this situation since about August from 338canada.com. Look at this BS in BC: https://338canada.com/bc.htm. 44% of expected combined opposition votes for 16% seats, vs. 47% votes for 84% of the province’s federal seats.

    It’s also been discussed at the Tyee https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2024/12/03/Poilievre-Free-Ride-Power/

    It’s another situation where very little of the media is casting any judgement to Mr. Whiny, and Trudeau is being blamed for everything from unpleasant weather (not related to the climate crisis) to waking up on the wrong side of the bed. No one is discussing or questioning Poilievre whether he is ready to deal with Trump, which a good portion of his base wants him to walk over Canada.

    Vote splitting, an unenthused electorate are factors pointing to an amazing opportunity for politically myopic Conservatives to come in and wreck our country. We are already preparing the transition power despite the election not even having started.

    I honestly think Trudeau should stop giving a fuck, put on KISS makeup, break the silly quibbling that the House is doing by releasing goddamn everything, put in any form of non FPTP system that is even slightly improved, and just go out like the rock star he deserves to be.