• galileopie@lemmy.ml
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    25 days ago

    Will it be a BC Conservative in this election or will the next election be a BC majority? 100% of every party loses power eventually, except for when the one in power starts ordering executions of the citizens.

    • blindsight@beehaw.org
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      25 days ago

      That’s not how it works. See the Conservatives/PCs in Alberta, and Social Credit before them. Combined, those two parties controlled Alberta for like ¾ of a century.

      It’s quite possible being in the spotlight as the official opposition for the next 4 years will give lots of opportunity for scandals to tear the party apart.

      Global economic factors will likely play a large role. If inflation stays under control and housing prices come down to keep young people in BC, the NDP could win in a landslide. If Trump is elected and it tanks the North American economy then either the NDP will be blamed for BC’s economy and get crushed, or viewers will turn against the authoritarianism they’re seeing South of the border and the NDP could cruise to an easy majority.

        • blindsight@beehaw.org
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          25 days ago

          What are you talking about? Nothing in my statement was falsifiable.

          The Alberta election results are unassailable, and the rest was all speculation about how things could completely change in the next 4 years, with no predictions given.

          As an example of how un-inevitable it is, I even gave an example of how the same events could result in completely different election results.

          So, what are you talking about “proven wrong” and “statements false”? That doesn’t make any sense.